Eastern Region Predictions - Week 9
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"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Three more weeks in the regular season remain, meaning
we're getting closer to crowning Champions in the four districts across the
entire region. That also means the playoffs
are right around the corner. The Game of
the Week pits undefeated Granby against Lake Taylor.
style=> There are also some other battles that'll
have significant implications on the postseason picture.
style=>
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Before we start to breakdown this week's matchups,
let's review the Eastern Region Prediction Standings with State Football Editor
Rod Johnson, VHSL-Reference.com and Matthew Hatfield.
style=>
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
While both Rod Johnson and VHSL-Reference went 17-2, Hatfield had a rough 14-5
week, his worst of the season that allowed the gap to close as we get near the
end of the season.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Game of the Week:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>#2
Lake Taylor (7-0) at #8 Granby (7-0) . . .
10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Enjoy this one
football fans in Norfolk and across the Eastern Region.
style=> I say that because it's the last battle
between undefeated teams until the playoffs arrive.
style=> Two of the remaining five unbeaten squads in
the region square off here with the winner in great shape to go on and claim
the Eastern District title. Lake Taylor
has won seven straight meetings over the Comets with Granby failing to score
more than 14 points in any of those matchups.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>For resurgent Granby, off to its best start since
capturing a state title back in 1966, they haven't won a league crown in eight
years. Coach Curt Brown has his team two
wins away from securing a playoff berth, and they haven't been there since he
was a defensive coordinator under Dave Hudak back in '04
when Bobby Rome and Chris Bell led the team.
Lake Taylor under Coach Hank Sawyer is used to winning the district
crown; they've done so six times since 2005 and will be in the playoffs for an
eighth consecutive year. Two great
defenses that each have six shutouts over their last 12 games will be on
display. Also, Lake Taylor brings in the
highest scoring attack in the Eastern Region at 45.9 points per contest.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Lake Taylor has been impressive on offense with their
ability to strike with the passing game or by running the ball.
style=> Junior QB Delmon
Williams is red hot with 910 yards passing and 17 touchdowns without an
interception. Receiver Harry Freeman
(16Rec. 280Yds. 8TD's) emerged right away as his go-to option this year with
Donovan Powell, Jalyn Holmes and Jakale
Pinkney all proving to be capable targets for
Williams when defenses key in on Freeman.
On the ground, Brandon 'Pork Chop' Moore (109Att. 1026Yds. 15TD's) and
class=SpellE>Daquan Davis (84Att. 642Yds. 7TD's) are the bread and
butter. D-linemen and linebackers haven't
been able to stop them all year. Senior
center Cliff Arrington, an All-Region performer, helps anchor the offensive
line.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Granby's offense isn't real flashy or overpowering at
25.9 points per game, but the Comets manage the game and don't turn it over,
checking in at +6 in the turnover margin category on the year.
style=> Junior signal caller William Smith (589 pass
yards, 6-5TD/Int. ratio) is pretty efficient throwing the ball, not forcing the
ball into tight windows too often and taking what the defense gives him.
style=> He'll also scramble away from trouble fairly
well. Lawrence Harris (9TD's total) and
Sidney Fulford are their two main playmakers.
style=> Harris has rushed for 474 yards and 6TD's
with 98 on the ground and a pair of scores in last week's 14-0 shutout of
class=SpellE>Norcom.
class=SpellE>Fulford adds 15 grabs for 273 yards and 3TD's.
style=> Those two along with Emmanuel White may have
to do more work at receiver than we've seen through seven games.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>After they put up 383 total yards of offense in the
opener versus Great Bridge, Granby has averaged only 241.5 total yards per game
with juts 189 a week ago. The Lake Taylor
defense is anything but generous as foes have negative rushing yards against
them, and the Titans have more sacks with 29 than points allowed, 27.
style=> Holmes, Brandon Lynch (21TFL), Marquise Poole
(8 sacks), Jamel Spellman and Nyquan
'Big Money' Harris are legitimate All-Region candidates from this group.
style=> Nhyre
class=SpellE>Quinerly in the secondary has three interceptions and the
sophomore is one to watch when teams try to throw on the Titans.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>As for Granby's defense, they have given up only 533
yards through the air, 468 on the ground and a meager 5.4 points per game.
style=> The team leans heavily on the pass rush with
class=SpellE>Tashad Charity, Sherrod Ryland and sophomore Quinton Brown
on the defensive line to disrupt opposing offenses.
style=> Last week, that trio collected nearly a dozen
tackles for loss, causing numerous problems for Norcom's
offensive line. They break down the protection
scheme, and then that allows linebackers Caleb Wilson, Tommy Spencer and Evan
Stephens to make things happen. Wilson,
nicknamed the Honey Badger, is their emotional leader.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Lake Taylor's Keys to Victory:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>#1
- - Don't Give Granby Short Fields:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>To
me, it's the only way the Comets score.
As long as Lake Taylor doesn't turn the ball over on its own end, which
the most likely way being a fumble, then Granby's offense has its work cut out
for them against an ultra-aggressive, ruthless defensive front of the
Titans. If Granby has to start at its
own 20 or 30 yard line, even if they hit one big play it doesn't necessarily
mean a touchdown. They do so inside the
Titans' 40-yard line, and that play could end up being a touchdown.
style=> It gives you room for error on defense, and
even though the Titans seldom make mistakes or get beat over the top on that
side of the ball, having a cushion isn't a bad thing.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>#2
- - Establish the Passing Game:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Usually,
you hear it the other way around and that's establish the run.
style=> But Lake Taylor is used to seeing teams stack
the box. Maury did it two weeks ago and
it allowed Williams to set a school record with 6TD's passing.
style=> Granby is equally thin in the secondary as
the Commodores were, and Lake Taylor wants to get some favorable one-on-one
matchups with Freeman, Pinkney, Powell and Holmes on
the outside. That should open up the run
as well. If they are as productive as
they've been throughout the course of the year, could very easily force Granby
to make some adjustments on defense.
There will be plenty of scoring opportunities as long as the offensive
line keeps the pass rush with Charity, Ryland and Brown off of Williams.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>#3
- - Make the Comets Abandon the Run:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>That's
what Lake Taylor wants to do and needs to do for this to be a blowout.
style=> Granby hasn't thrown the ball more than 19
times in any games this year. Just last
week, Norview had to put it in the air 33 times and failed to find the end
zone, seeing their quarterback get hit on 30 of his attempts.
style=> The fewer times Harris and Fulford
touch the ball early in the play, the better for the Lake Taylor defense as
they'll be looking to tee off on Smith and blitz from a different angles.
style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Granby's Keys to Victory:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>#1
- - Create Turnovers:
font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'> For
the season, Granby has 20 takeaways, seven of them coming in a victory over
class=SpellE>Churchland two weeks ago.
Seemingly, the only way to stop Lake Taylor is have the Titans stop
themselves. So far, the Titans have six
lost fumbles, which isn't a whole lot.
But if Lake Taylor in their split-veer attack puts the ball on the
carpet multiple times, that gets their high-octane offense off the field and allows
Granby to churn out yards with its rushing attack.
style=> The Comets want to shorten the game, and
their best way to do that is by having the football.
style=> At least two takeaways are needed in my
opinion for this game to be close and Granby to have a realistic shot at
winning.
style=>
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>#2
- - Convert Third Downs:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Whether
it's third down and long, third down and short or third down and medium, Granby
must convert some of these plays. For
the season, Lake Taylor's opponents are 6 of 77 on third downs.
style=> It's no wonder the Titans have won every game
they've played thus far by a minimum of 21 points.
style=> That means on average opponents are faced
with third down 11 times and converting less than one of them.
style=> This is a defense getting three-and-outs time
after time. Even if you don't score a
touchdown or field goal, move the chains on third down so that field position
is in your favor.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>#3
- - Step Up in the Red Zone:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>That's
offensively and defensively. When the
Titans get there, you have to be able to come up with stops to hold them to
field goals (better to allow 3 instead of 7 of course), and make them decide to
go for it on fourth down or not. On the
other side of the ball, the Comets can't get great field position and not
capitalize or put together a nice drive and see it stall.
style=> A lot of this effort will fall on the
offensive line and Smith to be a judicious decision maker, not force anything
in the red zone like he did a week ago when Norcom's
class=SpellE>Triquan Holman picked him off because they probably won't
have a 14-point cushion like they did a week ago.
style=>
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Closing
Thoughts:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Granby
has had a wonderful season and been the surprise story in the region.
style=> Beating Lake Taylor is a tall task, and if
they won this game, it would stun many people, yours truly included.
style=> It has to be a perfect storm for the Comets,
which means a bunch of penalties, turnovers and self-inflicted mistakes by the
Titans for this game to be tight by half-time and have a shot to win.
style=> That's asking a lot, particularly for a
Granby team that doesn't really have a deep receiving core or secondary.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Part of Lake Taylor's transformation from a good team
to an elite title contender is the expansion of the passing game on
offense. Williams has throw nine
touchdowns over the last two games, and they're attacking defenses without any
interceptions so far. The Titans have a
bevvy of weapons on the ground or by air, so it'll be difficult to contain them,
even for a Granby defense that is one of the better around like Lake Taylor's
tough unit. Both defensive lines are
more than capable of winning the matchup up front.
style=> However, Lake Taylor has more flexibility and
versatility with what they can do on either side of the ball.
style=> Plus, the Titans are used to playing in games
with Championship implications like this, so anything less than a top-notch
showing would be surprising.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Predictions
class=GramE>:
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Matt Says: Lake Taylor 41-14
Rod Says: Lake Taylor 28-7
VHSL-Reference Says: Lake Taylor 27-14
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
#1 Oscar Smith (6-1) at Deep Creek (1-6) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>The
Oscar Smith players will be taking the field with heavy hearts following the
unfortunate death of a J.V. football player, JheVontae
Davis, at practice on Wednesday. Against
Deep Creek, Oscar Smith has pitched four consecutive shutouts.
style=> Don't be the least bit surprised if it's five
by the end of Friday night. The Tigers
have a devastating defensive front with BCS-level prospect Andrew Brown, ODU
commit Kanyia Anderson, Shedrick
Oliver and Darren Flowers, who has arguably been their best defensive player
through seven games this year. Melvin
Vaughn, another ODU commit, and Troye Harris combined
for 27 tackles in last week's rout of Western Branch.
style=> Offensively, Dashawn
Blow has thrown 21 touchdowns this year and hasn't been picked off in September
or October, and UVA commit Zack Jones is now healthy at wide receiver off a
splendid performance last week. While
Deep Creek has a couple of sophomores to watch out for in the near future in QB
Terrence Shambry and RB Armond
Askew, their defense may not be able to make Oscar Smith have to punt.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Oscar Smith 56-7
Rod Says: Oscar Smith 49-0
VHSL-Reference Says: Oscar Smith 69-0
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Kempsville (2-6) at #3 Ocean Lakes (7-0) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Ten
years ago when these two schools met, it was in the regular season finale for
the Beach District title. Both teams
made it to the playoffs and were very evenly matched.
style=> Things have changed dramatically since that
point. The Dolphins have only gotten
better to where they now feel they can challenge for a regional and state
title, whereas Kempsville has fallen on hard times,
making the playoffs only once since that season.
style=> While the Chiefs beat Green Run last week 7-6
behind Chris Robinson's 130 yards rushing and a touchdown as well as
class=SpellE>Kyron Speller's clutch blocked extra point, their defense
is overmatched against the Ocean Lakes offense.
UVA commit Corwin Cutler has thrown 17 touchdowns compared to only two
interceptions, WR Andre Dessenberg (Delaware commit)
is trying to win the region receiving crown, and RB's Brandon Simmons and
Jordan Bobo move the chains behind an effective offensive
line, keyed by tackle Alex Skidmore. Up
front, d-tackles Derrick Nnadi and
class=SpellE>Demetri McGill clog the run effectively, so the Chiefs may
be forced to throw more than they'd like.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Ocean Lakes 46-0
Rod Says: Ocean Lakes 44-6
VHSL-Reference Says: Ocean Lakes 47-0
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
#4 Phoebus (7-0) at Woodside (4-3) . . .
10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Last year, Woodside
beat Phoebus 14-9 to end the Phantoms' VHSL-record 52-game winning streak.
style=> It was Woodside's first win over Phoebus
since 2004. While Phoebus has had some
off the field turmoil with a coaching change during the season and star RB Tony
Pittman being suspended two games earlier in the year, on the field they have
been their usually dominant selves.
Pittman comes in just 37 yards away from 1000, freshman QB Terrell
class=SpellE>Toliver has yet to thrown an interception, the offensive
line is massive with Jamal Earls paving the way, and the d-line is very
disruptive with ODU commit Mark Wilson making a case for Defensive Player of
the Year honors in the PD.
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Woodside has shown the ability to be balanced on
offense with QB Darius Howell and RB Tyris Walker at
the forefront of their attack, seeing the passing game progress from game one
to now. Trey Reed, a virtual unknown
going into the season, leads the PD with 20 receptions.
style=> Tim Flood is the catalyst for the Woodside
defense. The senior linebacker has three
defensive touchdowns over the last two games, both wins for the Wolverines.
style=> In order to spring the upset, Woodside must
be able to contain Phoebus' ground attack, and convert third downs, something
that is extremely difficult to do consistently the Phantoms' defense.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Phoebus 33-17
Rod Says: Phoebus 35-14
VHSL-Reference Says: Phoebus 34-13
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
#5 Salem (6-1) at #13 Kellam (5-2) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Each
of the last two years, the Salem SunDevils have shutout
the Kellam Knights.
This Kellam team is much more dangerous
offensively than they've been in recent years though with the threat to pass
behind QB Pat Kagel, who'll also run and gives them
three rushing options along with Cole Bava (110Car.
656Yds. 10TD's) and Mike Rawls. As
improved as the Kellam offense is, averaging 29 points
per game on the season, their defense struggles with teams that possess
explosive firepower. For example, take
their meeting with Bayside two weeks ago, where they
scored 42, but gave up 62 points and gave up 621 yards of offense to a Marlins
team that has had protection problems in spotlight games.
style=> DE Nick Edwards, a JMU commit, and Mitch
class=SpellE>Gerdau have to collapse the pocket and not allow Salem QB
Bucky Hodges, a Virginia Tech commit who'll hurt you with his arm or his feet,
to beat them with back-breaking plays.
Furthermore, corner E.J. Woodhouse has to contain Kwamane
Bowens (28Rec. 596Yds. 4TD's) on the outside, and the Knights have to be
careful not to have a linebacker get caught one-on-one with any of the
class=SpellE>SunDevils' other dangerous wide receivers.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Salem 48-16
Rod Says: Salem 42-14
VHSL-Reference Says: Salem 31-14
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
King's Fork (5-2) at #6 Grassfield (7-0) . . .
class=SpellE>Grassfield
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
has won four straight meetings in this series after King's Fork won the inaugural
meeting 22-9 back in 2007. The Grizzlies
enter this matchup trying to get to 8-0 to set up a first place showdown in the
Southeastern District with Oscar Smith, which has eliminated them in the
regional semifinals twice in the past three years.
style=> Grassfield has two
home-run hitters in the backfield in Vincent Lowe and Isaiah Harper, who has
seven plays of 60+ yards with six of them resulting in touchdowns.
style=> Defensively, the Grizz
don't like the bend, but don't break philosophy.
style=> However, they were like that in last week's
27-22 win over Lakeland. King's Fork is
starting to sprinkle in the passing attack with Uriah Adams better to go with
their strong running game, featuring Virginia Tech commit Charles Clark and
freshman Deshaun Wethington.
style=> The better tackling team and team able to
execute its offense in crucial situations (i.e. backed up in its own end, third
downs, etc.) should win. Right now, that
looks to be the Grizzlies. With Lowe,
Harper and Paris Smith, they have three players who can score at any moment.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Grassfield
27-13
Rod Says: Grassfield
26-14
VHSL-Reference Says: Grassfield
34-10
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Menchville (2-5) at #7 Hampton (6-1) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
style=> The Crabbers come in with one of the stingiest
defenses around. On the year, Hampton is
giving up only 7.1 points per game and they have pitched three straight
shutouts. In comes a Menchville
offense that ranks near the bottom of the region in scoring and got blanked
44-0 by Heritage last week. Furthermore,
Hampton has shutout the Monarchs eight times since 1999.
style=> It'll be ten after this one, unless
class=SpellE>Menchville can establish both the run and pass.
style=> Ray Jones (18 catches) and
class=SpellE>Joron Foster are two of their most reliable
playmakers. One-dimensional attacks don't
work against the Crabbers, who have gotten great play by Joemel
Redd, Daunte Wilson,
class=SpellE>Quan Henry, Daquin Moore and Trey
Pressley on the defensive side of the ball.
Menchville's defense will have its hands full
trying to slow down the 1-2 punch of Deon Newsome and Marshawn
Williams, a tandem that has together rushed for 1448 yards and 22 touchdowns.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Hampton 45-3
Rod Says: Hampton 42-0
VHSL-Reference Says: Hampton 57-0
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Princess Anne (1-6) at #9 Bayside (6-2) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Over
the last three years, Bayside has outscored Princess Anne 153-19.
style=> PA's last win in the head-to-head series came
in 2005. The Cavaliers put forth a much
better effort than expected in losing to Cox only 21-14 a week ago.
style=> Quarterback Sheldon Beale accounted for 156
total yards and two touchdowns, connecting with Javen
Fiesta for a 56-yard score in that narrow defeat.
style=> Linebacker Aaron Glover, a junior, headlines
the defense with over 70 tackles on the year.
Slowing down Bayside's offense, which is
averaging over 45 points per game in the last four, will be no easy task.
style=> Quarterback Deion Stitt
continues to climb the VHSL career passing yardage list.
style=> Both RB Taquan 'Smoke'
Mizzell, a UVA commit, and WR Quin
Blanding are closing in on 1000 yards rushing and receiving respectively.
style=> Smoke is 189 away and Blanding is 172
shy. Concentrate on then, and WR
class=SpellE>Devante Batey (3TD's vs.
class=SpellE>Kellam) will burn you.
The Marlins have too many weapons for PA to make this one tight on the
road in my opinion.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Bayside 49-15
Rod Says: Bayside 48-14
VHSL-Reference Says: Bayside 42-0
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
#11 Bethel (5-2) at Warwick (2-5) . . .
line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>The Bruins are clearly one
of the surprise teams in the Peninsula District and the Eastern Region this
year. After losing 51-0 to Lake Taylor,
this looked to be a re-building year, but since the team has responded
exceedingly well with an upset win over Hampton and narrow two-point loss to
four-time defending Division 5 State Champion Phoebus.
style=> Bethel is going for its fifth win in six
games, and they've done a nice job of running the ball with Jihad Hudson and
Demetrius Dinkins, plus QB Trey Jackson had 4TD's total last week (2 rushing, 2
passing). They've gone from being a
spread out team last year with a dynamic receiving core to more ball-control,
methodical style this season. Warwick
has been injury-plagued all year and will be without RB Cardon
Johnson again. To spring the upset, they
need grand efforts from QB Josh Butler, WR Demetree
Harris and DE/TE David Smith. Bethel is
getting solid play on defense from d-lineman Ricky Walker, who got offered by
Penn State this week, as well as Javon King and Casey
Pretlow, who has two defensive touchdowns over the
past two games.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Bethel 34-17
Rod Says: Bethel 31-13
VHSL-Reference Says: Bethel 33-10
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Nansemond River (4-3) at #12 Western Branch (5-2) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>After
losing to Western Branch 40-0 in 2010, Nansemond River bounced back with a last
minute victory over the Bruins 37-30 a season ago.
style=> Nansemond River comes in riding high with
three straight wins, while Western Branch has lost two in a row to
class=SpellE>Grassfield and Oscar Smith following a fabulous 5-0
start. Momentum is on the side of the
Warriors, but can they stop the vaunted option rush attack of the Bruins?
style=> The Tigers have the best defense in the
Southeastern District, and even they up 246 yards rushing.
style=> If Nansemond River's defense with
class=SpellE>Damario Valentine, Nate Wyche and
Marvin Branch leading the way linebacker can get a hat on recent UCONN commit
Josh Marriner (1101 yards, 11TD's) and the Bruins' backs,
then Western Branch will be forced to make things happen through the air.
style=> Western Branch QB C.J. Thomas was 13 of 19
just two weeks ago against Grassfield, so they can do
it when needed. The question will be if
Nansemond River RB Latrell 'Vegas'
class=SpellE>Sandifer (995 yards rushing, 10TD's) doesn't move the
chains, are the Warriors able to score enough in this one?
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Western Branch 31-14
Rod Says: Western Branch 41-20
VHSL-Reference Says: Western Branch
21-20
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
First Colonial (3-4) at Tallwood (1-6) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>In
the head-to-head series, First Colonial has won three straight over
class=SpellE>Tallwood, which includes a 34-13 triumph a year ago.
style=> The Lions feel they found their quarterback
of the future in sophomore Reggie Rudolph, who has thrown for 669 yards in five
games as a starter, but got intercepted three times by Bayside's
Quin Blanding last week in a 44-0 loss to the Marlins.
style=> That was a Saturday game, and FC played on a
Friday in a 27-17 loss to Kellam, giving the Patriots
an extra day to rest up for this one. First
Colonial was dealt a serious blow though when it lost Dornell
Collins for the rest of the season with a torn ACL a few weeks ago.
style=> Without him, the ball carrying
responsibilities have fallen to Raven Greene and Rayshawn
Steverson, a duo that combined for 198 yards on the
ground and 2TD's in their victory over Landstown.
style=> Joey Brown is starting to get comfortable at
QB after that preseason ankle injury as well.
The major difference is on defense, where the Patriots are doing a
better job of limiting the big play.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: First Colonial 24-6
Rod Says: First Colonial 27-13
VHSL-Reference Says: First Colonial
37-10
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Green Run (1-6) at Landstown (2-5) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Quite
frankly, these are two sputtering offenses trying to grab a win and stop the
bleeding. Green Run has scored only 27
points over their past five games, dropping six in a row since a season-opening
comeback win over Princess Anne. Losses
to First Colonial and Kempsville just a week ago were
by a total of four points, otherwise they're 3-4, clinging to slim playoff
hopes. Meanwhile, Landstown
is on a four-game losing skid with 19 points over that stretch.
style=> Whichever offensive line gets a better push
for their running backs should hold the upper hand in this one.
style=> Junior Anthony Scott, who has an offer from
West Virginia, is playing at less than 100% for Green Run in recent weeks since
running wild in the opener. The Eagles
have a pair of backs in Trevon Byron and
class=SpellE>Shyheim Swinson that have gone
over 1000 yards on the year. My pick is
class=SpellE>Landstown, but I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the
Stallions win. This might be the hardest
game to call of the week.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Landstown
14-7
Rod Says: Landstown
27-14
VHSL-Reference Says: Landstown
21-12
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Booker T. Washington (2-5) at
class=SpellE>Churchland (1-6) . . . Churchland
had owned this series with consecutive victories until Booker T. Washington's
13-0 shutout of the Truckers in 2011.
Booker T. has really only had two very productive offensive outings and
they were in a 24-21 overtime win over Warwick and a 32-30 loss to Norview.
style=> Both Warwick and Norview are teams with lackluster
defenses, something that could be said about the Truckers given that they have
allowed 36+ points on four separate occasions this year.
style=> Churchland might
have the most dynamic player on the field in Robert Boyd, who scored three
touchdowns three different ways in their win over Wilson.
style=> Booker T. has to get some of their top
players to counter like Zain Upshur in the
trenches. The Bookers are without Steven
Whitley and Rodney Johnson for the rest of the year due to injury.
style=> Much like Landstown/Green
Run, here's another game that could go either way.
style=> The momentum is with Churchland
coming off a win, but the Truckers might be a bit more mistake-prone and not
have as much speed and size at multiple positions as the Bookers do.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Booker T. Washington 16-13
Rod Says: Booker T. Washington 25-22
VHSL-Reference Says: Booker T.
Washington 29-13
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Maury (4-3) at Wilson (0-7) . . .
line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>The Wilson Presidents have
their hands full containing Maury's two terrific versatile athletes in
class=SpellE>Davion Taylor (13TD's total) and Anthony Smith, who has 12
touchdowns either by run or pass. Kudos
to the Maury defense last week for holding Booker T. Washington to just 187
total yards of offense and without an offensive touchdown.
style=> As great as the Maury offense has been at
times by averaging 32.1 points per game on the year, they need to see that
defense continue to improve because they're giving up 30PPG and could get
torched by a good team in the first round of the playoffs if they get there.
style=> Derek Wilder, a sophomore and son of ODU
Football Coach Bobby Wilder, made big plays for them on defense last week, and
they'll need that again to contain Wilson dual-threat signal caller
class=SpellE>Derwounte Greene. Maury
is chasing a playoff berth, and although Wilson played spirited football a few
weeks back in coming up just short against the Commodores' nearby rival Granby,
21-20, I'd be stunned if the Presidents pulled the upset in this spot.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Maury 32-10
Rod Says: Maury 31-7
VHSL-Reference Says: Maury 52-20
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Norview (1-6) at Norcom (4-3) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Currently,
Norcom is the #8 seed for the Eastern Region Division
5 playoffs, which is somewhat of a surprise since last year they made it to the
regional title game against Phoebus. Norview
actually has the better passing attack of these two teams, believe it or
not. Quarterback Erwin 'E.J.' Faison is
a promising sophomore that leads the district with 1250 yards through, though
has as many interceptions (10) as touchdowns.
Norcom is vastly superior in two significant areas,
though. That's defensively and running
the football, led by the combo of Traquan Martin
(106Att. 696Yds. 6TD's) and Aaron Parker.
I definitely lean with Norcom in this one
because the Pilots' defense isn't equipped to stop the run, especially without
top tackler Bryce Atkins, who is done for the year due to concussions, and the
Greyhounds want to get that bad taste out of their mouths from a 14-0 shutout
loss to Granby. Norview hasn't beaten
class=SpellE>Norcom since 2001.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Norcom
29-12
Rod Says: Norcom
29-7
VHSL-Reference Says: Norcom
28-14
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Lakeland (4-3) at Great Bridge (0-7) . . .
10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>For years, Great
Bridge had its way with Lakeland. The
Wildcats every meeting with the Cavaliers from 2002-10, then last year Lakeland
broke through with a 54-41 victory. We
could've seen a shoot-out again, except the Wildcats have struggled to put
together a consistent ground attack to replace the departed Dre
Mayes, and QB Ryan Bottoms has missed one of his key lineman in Garrett Watts,
out for the year due to injury. Bottoms
threw for 131 yards on 11 of 14 completions in the first half versus Nansemond
River last week, but the defense figured him out in the second half when he
went just 2 of 14. Receivers
class=SpellE>Daquan Cuffee and
class=SpellE>Kaleb Underwood are going to have to make plays against
Lakeland's speedy, talented skill position players like Antonio Jefferson
(28Rec. 460Yds. 5TD's), an All-Region candidate on the outside.
style=> Raekwon Johnson has
looked more like the guy that was Southeastern District Player of the Year as a
junior here lately with back-to-back 100-yard performances.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Lakeland 42-7
Rod Says: Lakeland 26-6
VHSL-Reference Says: Lakeland 35-10
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Indian River (2-5) at Hickory (2-5) . . .
10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>This is one of the
few games on the docket this week that would go in that unpredictable
column. Hickory won last year's game in
resounding fashion, 55-3. They come in
with even records, the Hawks having done better head-to-head lately, and RB
Andy Eaton can chew up yards little by little while milking the clock.
style=> Indian River has shown quite a bit of
potential offensively these past few weeks when they've scored 98 points.
style=> In the four games before that, the Braves
scored only 20, so they've had more than four times the amount in fewer
contests since that point. Daniel Cross
is getting the hang of things at quarterback, Jaque
Sawyer has broken off some long runs, and WR's Kevin Smith and Richie Williams
are getting open against soft coverage more times than not.
style=> As long as DL Tyler Fain and LB's Ronnie
Tennessee and James Spruill keep Eaton in check on first and second down to
force Hickory to throw on third downs, they'll be in good shape, even away from
home.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Indian River 24-20
Rod Says: Indian River 33-21
VHSL-Reference Says: Hickory 22-17
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Gloucester (0-7) at Denbigh (1-6) . . .
line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Marcellus Harris' Denbigh
Patriots are looking to avenge a 15-12 loss to Gloucester from a year ago.
style=> Gloucester's only offense in last week's 37-3
loss to Woodside was a Jackson Lowther field
goal. Defensive coordinator Ken
class=SpellE>Hardcastle took over as Head Coach with Sonny Merchant
deciding to step down. All is not lost
for Gloucester, though. While neither of
these two teams will make a playoff push, they want to finish well and get
momentum going into 2013.
class=GramE>Dukes tailback James Scott, a junior that should get some
next-level looks, is 11th in the Eastern Region in rushing yards with 686
yards. That's not too shabby, and he's
one big game in this matchup away from having a realistic shot at 1000 for the
season. Denbigh has had inconsistent
play on offense, both running and passing with the lone game eclipsing 17
points being that 21-12 victory over Menchville.
style=> What gives them the edge if you ask me is
their defense has shown some improvement and can come up with some takeaways to
swing the game.
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Denbigh 20-13
Rod Says: Denbigh 21-7
VHSL-Reference Says: Denbigh 24-17
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
Heritage (4-3) at Kecoughtan (4-3) . . .
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Two
teams enter with identical records, but the playoff outlook for both is very
different. Heritage currently is in the
Division 5 postseason if it started today and could get as high as the #5
seed. Meanwhile, Kecoughtan's
only chance to get to the playoffs would be to win out, which includes a win
over the Hurricanes and Hampton next week.
That's just because Division 6 is so top-heavy.
style=> The two leading rushers in the Peninsula
District square off here with Kecoughtan's Trenton
Cannon, who has 148 attempts for 1138 yards and 15 touchdowns, and Heritage's
Khalid Abdullah (147 carries for 1089 yards, 15TD's).
style=> With two terrific tailbacks on the field
taking center stage and the headlines in this one, what ultimately could decide
the outcome is quarterback play and which defense steps up.
style=> Right now, the Warriors have used two
different signal callers with Nick Carrera and Desmond Savage, while Heritage
seems to be settling on Richard Outlaw.
Also, the Hurricanes pitched a shutout last week of Menchville,
whereas Kecoughtan just gave up 42 to Bethel.
style='font-size:9.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Helvetica","sans-serif";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:#292727'>
style='font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Verdana","sans-serif"'>Matt
Says: Heritage 30-20
Rod Says: Heritage 26-21
VHSL-Reference Says: Heritage 30-13
"Verdana","sans-serif"'>
style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'>
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";text-decoration:none;text-underline:
none'>Matthew Hatfield
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>
has covered Eastern Region Football & Basketball since 2004 for
href="http://www.virginiapreps.com">
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";
text-decoration:none;text-underline:none'>VirginiaPreps.com
style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'>
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>, part of the Rivals.com
Network. Check out
href="http://www.twitter.com/hatfieldsports">
text-decoration:none;text-underline:none'>Hatfield's Twitter page
style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'>
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'> for more sports related updates,
and you can also read his work in the
href="http://www.suffolknewsherald.com">
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";
text-decoration:none;text-underline:none'>Suffolk News Herald
style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'>
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>.
To contact Matthew, please e-mail
href="mailto:hatfieldsports2k4@yahoo.com">
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";
text-decoration:none;text-underline:none'>hatfieldsports2k4@yahoo.com
style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'>
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>, and don't forget to listen to him
on High School Sports Talk from 10AM to Noon on
href="http://www.espnradio941.com/">
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";
text-decoration:none;text-underline:none'>ESPN Radio 94.1
class=MsoHyperlink>
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";
text-decoration:none;text-underline:none'>,
style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'>
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'> plus watch him on the
href="http://www.cox11.com">
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";
text-decoration:none;text-underline:none'>Cox 11 Sports Report
style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'>
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>.
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